Seconds out, round two

Here I am, back in harness for my second and final year of pre-ordination training: lots of new faces, lots of familiar ones, a sense of anticipation.  For this year's leavers, there's a mood change. Some have curacies sorted out near to where they were sent from, some in other places, the rest are at various stages of the search.

There's been some freshening up, lots of new paint, lots of old furniture. Which is a bit like us, as we are sent out, fresh paint ready to be slapped on somewhere.

And - of course - there are rapidly filling diaries and rotas, there are bills and kitties: this is the Church, after all.

More than one conversation has shown me that many of us are already experiencing that sense that what's a few months ahead is more real than this immediate future.  I don't want to lose touch with that sense of destination, or rather of that sense of the next station in this journey; but nor do I want to lose out on the present, on these precious, privileged months of close fellowship, on the opportunities there may be to serve in this city.

It's Autumn, and we are leaves reddening for the coming fall.  In the natural way of things, the next step is a drying to dust or a dampening to mould. It takes the eyes of faith to see the possibility of ingrafting to another tree, leading to new growth and a new sharing of life.

Colliding hadrons, Batman!

So, the Large Hadron Collider at CERN has its first beam completing the 27km circuit, soon the opposing beam will be going the other way and collisions will start. This may be the end of the world, or not - probably not, but I'm hardly qualified to pass judgement. With a bit of luck, assorted wise heads have looked at this and decided the risk is infinitesimal.

The popular reaction seems to be wonder at the majesty of science, rather little comment on the two incontrovertible points on the scientific enterprise that this shows:
The state of physics and of its mathematical underpinnings in particular is weak enough that it's necessary to build this quantum rollercoaster

The problem of two incompatible scientific theories, each by definition practically effective in its home territory yet provably incorrect, is a big head-scratcher for scientists

I regard myself very much as a scientist by instinct. My first degree was Maths at Oxford, and I try and keep in touch at least with pop science. I don't claim great expertise in any field of science, but nor do I find myself struggling with basic concepts in any field that has introductory literature.

So it's frustrating, to say the least, to find that when it comes to God, some people seem to want to apply a standard of proof far beyond that applied to science before giving the big ideas of faith credence. I'm not especially thinking about Richard Dawkins' wild venturings in this area - he has so far and so furiously overstated his case that he is not seen as a serious commentator in the area of theology (or atheology) any more than I am in respect of the putative Higgs Boson. But a de-frothed version of his outlook is increasingly the norm in certain areas.

So, just for a moment would you please suspend your disbelief about belief?

Science is at least as uncertain as theology.

Allow me to prove that for you.

First, let's be clear what 'science' is. The definition must include:

1. Description - an area of science addresses a topic that must be clearly and objectively identified
2. Observation - the topic must be capable of observation, even if only indirectly
3. Prediction - the scientific enterprise is to make successful predictions
4. Comparison - it must be possible to compare results of experiment and theory and reach conclusion about the relative success of different ideas
5. Duplicability - experiments must be capable of independent repetition and the scientific method requires consistency

Description is problematic. As any fule no, there's a world of difference between saying 'banana' and defining one with precision. As science has progressed, there is both increasing scope and refinement, but also increasing co-dependence and circularity of definition.

Observation is problematic. Much measurement is indirect - the LHC is not really expecting to see a Higgs Boson but traces of its predicted decay products; refined measurements are rarely direct and generally bounded in accuracy (for instance Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle demonstrates why at the level of the very tiny it's not possible to know both where something is and where it's travelling). Probability comes in at every level.

Prediction is troublesome in some fields, for instance in some areas of biology it's impossible to examine most theories except in retrospect - you can't simulate a thousand or a million years in the life of marsupial mammals.

Comparison has severe logical difficulties. Gödel's Incompleteness Theorem puts serious limits on logic. There are true things that can't be proved, false things that can't be disproved. That's not conjecture or handwaving, it's proveable mathematical fact.

Duplicability is also limiting for all sorts of reasons, practical (we can't have another Big Bang), financial (how many particle accelerators or Hubble Telescopes will there be?) and so on.

Overall, science is great, and we need to carry on investing. But that's in a context where progress relies on an element of trust, and where most of the money invested will prove to have been wasted - outweighed, we hope, by the benefits of the tiny proportion of successes.

But we will never be able to predict the moment that the next drop will fall from a dripping tap.

Never, ever.

So please don't tell me that science gives a complete view of reality. It doesn't. It can't. It won't.

Christian theology doesn't either. My contention is that - ultimately - it will. What we see today through a scanning electron microscope subject to revision, we will come to experience directly for ourselves.

Breakthrough?

Your mobile phone is a decent way of accessing the Internet just about anywhere.  Not brilliant, maybe, but good enough for all sorts of stuff.  Email, facebook, simple web searches, news and so on.

Traditionally, mobile operators have caned their customers for the privilege of viewing a tiny page slowly (and especially for those occasions when your browser can't support the massive graphics-rich page coming down the line). Why? The myth (OK, ancient truth) that mobile browsing is a premium service.

Nonsense!

But like it or not, this has been the approach and still generally is.

At last, Asda (which uses the Vodafone network) has changed the rules. Look:

Pay-as-you-go Internet Pricing

Price per MB

500p Virgin

400p Tesco

300p O2

    20p Asda

Obscure Orange, 3, T-Mobile, Vodafone

Checked today, but I make no representation about the accuracy or comprehensiveness of this information

'Obscure' means that the website doesn't want to give you the detail - assume the worst!

By the way, most of the operators offer either some kind of daily maximum  or/and daily, weekly or monthly bundles.  But for the most part, these position Internet at £1-2 a day. Much more than you are paying for high speed home broadband.

What can you get for £1?  Not much, perhaps, but too much, and in particular it's lousy knowing that each time you check and update facebook it will be costing you 30p or so.

So three cheers for Asda, assuming I'm reading their policy correctly.  If I make the occasional, casual email check etc, I'll spend pennies a day.  Well, I'm happy to do that any day, so suddenly it makes sense to make my mobile the default Internet access for all sorts of things.  Even a photo upload will be around the cost of a call (8p per minute, three cheers for that too). Almost all the mobiles in the house can download and run Opera Mini, which acts as a kind of middleman to the web, limiting the amount of data going back and forth and making most sites designed for PCs easy enough to use on phones, so suddenly it all makes sense.

Funnily enough, I'm pretty confident that if the others follow suit, their revenues will grow significantly (or to be techy, they will increase ARPU).  Because most people never use their phone for browsing. Bad technical experiences and fear of uncertain costs have ensured that.

Come on, guys.  Or am I going to have to trade up to Asda?